By the European debt crisis contagion, less foreign shoe orders not stick to your teeth is more important is not the end of the foreign trade situation of the next heart. However, on the 27th, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Economic Research Institute Absorbing guest "China Forum" analysis of the current economic situation, foreign trade growth this year will show a "low" situation, the export situation well today the first two months. Import and export trade growth or higher than 10% "The current slowdown in exports and a certain amount of pressure on the economy, including Quanzhou, this is the case." Absorbing said. In fact, this has been reflected in the statistics released by the customs authorities, in February the city's foreign trade and exports in the first time in year-on-year, the chain double down. But for the next trend, the Absorbing make more optimistic forecasts, "the whole foreign trade situation in the first quarter do not see, because from the second quarter began to bulk access single, third and fourth quarter of volume shipments, while combined with the current international environment, the export in the next time will be better than 1,2 month.
"This year, the decline in global economic growth but not a Skate Shoes, the overall situation is not even worse than last year passed a more positive signal from the developed to emerging economies." Absorbing example that, for example, recently the United States announced a number of economic The data show that the country's economy is in recovery phase, the retail sales in February to $ 407.81 billion, the largest increase since record in September 2011, in addition to the job market is also improving. Most enterprises are worried about the European region, the recent positive signals, Italy's debt crisis is mitigation continue to appear, the Italian bond yields dropped significantly, and the German government bond yield spreads continued to narrow. These exports are favorable signal . Premier Wen stresses the import and export trade of this year increased by 10%, then this indicator must be extensively solicit views from all sides from a cautious indicator, I believe the actual figure than this high may be 12% a level. "Absorbing. Small micro-enterprise debt risk exists The difficult situation of small and micro enterprises is difficult to reflect in official statistics, but its operational difficulties, financing difficulties, the existence of the debt risk is one of the challenges facing China's economy.
"In the analysis of the current economic situation, Absorbing, small micro-enterprise absorb the cost of increased capacity, poor solvency. However, for solving the financing difficulties of small micro-enterprise private lending, he admitted that "countries only slowly liberalized, because regulators can not keep up. However, this does not change the trend of China's economic growth. According to the latest report of the Academy of Social Sciences Task Force, expected GDP growth of 8.7 percent in 2012. Absorbing said, "the 12th Five Year Plan" the second year into investment projects focused on the construction period, economic growth will be driven to a certain extent. People are generally concerned about the price, Absorbing, although the momentum of the rapid rise under control, but the price cyclical volatility in deep-seated contradictions have not been resolved. Such as food production and distribution, production and consumption aspects of the two information asymmetry, it is impossible in the short-term solution. In addition, rising labor costs, resource price adjustment, imported inflationary pressure caused by rising international commodity prices will also drive up prices. He expects that the 2012 CPI increase will be controlled within 3.5% -4%.
It's written by GoodLandShoes date 4.5.2012
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